AFRICA
U.K.
Prime Minister, Tony Blair, a year ago established a commission
on Africa, calling Africas problem a scar on the conscience
of the world. Recently the commission made public its findings.
This high level commission had as members Prime Ministers, Presidents,
experts, and even a Saint, Sir Bob Geldorf. Its easy to discount
reports, we have endured so many, but words and ideas do matter.
The Brandt Report commissioned by Social Democratic German Chancellor,
Willy Brandt, created new phrases, now clichés, with great
clarity. This is how we learnt of the North-South divide, the Third
World, and the political objective of .7% of Government revenues
in aid.
In
2000 at the U.N. Headquarters in New York, a hundred leaders solemnly
agreed to what was grandly called the Millennium Goals, to halve
the worlds poverty. It was hoped we could reach these objectives
within 15 years, at present rates it will now take over 100 years
to achieve these noble goals. The African Continent, over the past
quarter century, is the only continent that has become poorer. Sub-Saharan
Africa represents 10% of the worlds population, but has two-thirds
of all people with HIV AIDS. Corruption costs Africa nearly US$160
billion a year. Africas debt has tripled over the past 25
years. Grim stuff. Whos to blame? What to do?
Theres
enough blame for everyone to share - great companies accept bribery
as a legitimate way to do business, and greedy politicians and bureaucrats
who steal. I know something about this. I put a group together to
do some business in an African country, the business was good for
everyone and then I was asked to direct many millions of dollars
to various important people. I walked away. Africa is changing,
now there is a new organisation, the African Union, which was born
out of the old liberation movement and its cheerleader, the Organisation
of African States. The new African plan, Nepad, introduces a system
of peer reviews and peer pressure to force change
Half
of the African population lives on less than a dollar a day, not
enough to buy a cup of tea. Some things have improved, growth is
now 5%, historically high, almost the target needed for sustained
growth. Evil dictatorships are on the decline, over the past 5 years
two-thirds of sub-Saharan nations have had multi-party elections.
The Blair Report has firm recommendations. Total cancellation of
debt for the poorest countries, increase aid to Africa by 300%,
a suggested global tax on airline tickets. Bold moves to open trade
barriers to African exports, which when you consider abolishing
cotton, coffee and sugar subsidies, would return up to 5 times more
than all the aid put together, and incidentally save European taxpayers
$50 billion. New anti-corruption laws, and transparency by Western
banks to stop and trace money being paid to corrupt African leaders
are on the agenda. The need to build African infrastructure is recognised.
You can send a container from Hong Kong through Panama to New York
for a quarter of the price of getting a container from North Africa
to New York. It costs just $1,500 to ship a motorcar from Japan
to Abidjan, but it costs $5,000 to ship it on from Abidjan to Addis
Abba. It is recommended that aid be re-oriented towards infrastructure
- $20 billion a year for 5 years, rising to $40 billion a year for
the following 5 years.
African
torment is equal to the effect of a "tsunami every month".
No wonder there are a million economic refugees in Libya alone waiting
to escape to Europe and pastures greener. Over the past 15 years,
more Africans have gone to the United States than were shipped by
force across the Atlantic during 200 years of slavery. Whats
special about this report is that the majority of the Commission
members were Africans, there is a high level buy-in. Responsibility
is accepted, its about good governance, open markets, pumped
up by investment thats now welcome. Its only a few years
ago, indeed in my time as Director General of the World Trade Organisation
some still opposed investment as a new form of colonialisation.
Now the ball is in the court of the G8, the biggest industrialized
economies, that will be chaired by Prime Minister Blair, who will
assemble in the elegant Gleneagles Castle in July to consider these
recommendations. If they fail it will break the heart of the world. |